Probability Formula:
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The probability calculated from betting odds represents the implied chance of an event occurring according to the odds offered. It's a conversion from the bookmaker's odds to a percentage probability.
The calculator uses the probability formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula converts decimal odds to their implied probability. For example, odds of 2.00 imply a 50% chance (1/2.00 = 0.5).
Details: Understanding the implied probability helps bettors assess whether the odds represent value compared to their own assessment of the true probability.
Tips: Enter the decimal odds (e.g., 1.50, 2.75, 4.20). The calculator will return the implied probability as a percentage. Odds must be 1.01 or higher.
Q1: What's the difference between probability and odds?
A: Probability represents the chance of an event occurring (0-1 scale), while odds represent the ratio of event occurring to not occurring.
Q2: How do I convert fractional odds to decimal?
A: Divide numerator by denominator and add 1 (e.g., 5/2 = 2.5 + 1 = 3.5 decimal odds).
Q3: What does a 25% probability mean?
A: It means the event is expected to occur 1 in 4 times based on the given odds.
Q4: Why do probabilities from odds add up to more than 100%?
A: Bookmakers build in an overround (vigorish) to ensure profit, making the sum of implied probabilities exceed 100%.
Q5: How can I use this for value betting?
A: If your calculated probability is higher than the implied probability from the odds, it may represent a value bet.