99% Confidence Interval Formula:
From: | To: |
A 99% confidence interval for a proportion provides a range of values within which we can be 99% confident that the true population proportion lies. It accounts for sampling variability in estimating proportions from sample data.
The calculator uses the normal approximation formula:
Where:
Explanation: The interval is centered at the sample proportion with a margin of error that depends on the sample size and variability of the proportion.
Details: Confidence intervals provide more information than point estimates alone, indicating the precision of the estimate and the range of plausible values for the population parameter.
Tips: Enter the sample proportion (between 0 and 1) and sample size (≥1). For percentages, convert to proportion (e.g., 45% = 0.45).
Q1: When is the normal approximation appropriate?
A: When both np and n(1-p) are ≥10. For small samples or extreme proportions, exact methods may be needed.
Q2: What does 99% confidence mean?
A: If we repeated the sampling many times, 99% of the calculated intervals would contain the true population proportion.
Q3: How does sample size affect the CI?
A: Larger samples produce narrower intervals (more precise estimates). The width is inversely proportional to √n.
Q4: What if my proportion is 0 or 1?
A: The formula breaks down at extremes. Consider Wilson score interval or exact binomial methods in these cases.
Q5: Why use 2.576 as the multiplier?
A: This is the z-score that captures 99% of the area under the standard normal curve (leaving 0.5% in each tail).